POLITICS BLOG: Iowa-nt to know what is going to happen
It’s less than a week before the Iowa caucus and it’s finally time for a bold prediction. I predict that no one has any idea what the heck is going to happen. You heard it here first!
The most recent CNN/ORC poll out of Iowa shows more of the same, big changes. Seriously, the GOP race has had more rollercoasters than Valleyfair. Romney has a slim lead (25%) over not-going-to-be-nomiated Rep. Ron Paul (22%), which isn’t a surprise. But the big change is the new comeback kid Rick Santorum. He was polling at 5% when the month started, he’s now in 3rd place at 16%.
Do you know why Santorum has had such a big turn around? Do you? Because I HAVE NO IDEA! He’s the latest in a series of candidates that seem to rise and fall for no other reason than they need to rise and fall. Bachmann, Perry, Cain. Even Newt Gingrich has his arms in the air yelling on the way down, dropping from 33% in the last poll to 14% today. The only guy who has stayed consistent is Romney, who no one really wants to vote for.
If I have to make a prediction I would say we are going to have 3 different winners after the first 3 primaries (Paul in Iowa, Romney in N.H., and Gingrich in South Carolina), and then an all out sprint for the most delegates. This race has the potential to last as long as the Dems back in 2008, when Hillary didn’t drop out until we were wearing shorts and t-shirts.
If you want a prediction on who will win it all, I have no idea. Romney probably, Gingrich maybe, but don’t count out absolutely anyone else.
One thing I will take a shot at is the Democratic nominee, but then again I’m prone to making bold predictions.
More Later
Comments