Poll: Barrett leads Falk in recall primary
Poll director: Barrett, Walker matchup is 'now essentially a tie'
With less than a week until the primary in the Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election, a new Marquette Law School poll shows Tom Barrett leading Kathleen Falk 38 percent to 21 percent.
The poll shows the two other Democrats, Doug La Follette and Kathleen Vinehout, with 8 percent and 6 percent.
In a June general election between Barrett and Republican Gov. Scott Walker, Barrett leads by one percentage point, 47-46, among all registered voters, while Walker leads by one percentage point, 48-47, among likely voters, according to the poll.
Both results are well within the margin of error of the poll. Walker leads former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk 49 percent to 42 percent among registered voters and 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters.
The Democratic primary margin has widened since the March 22-25 Marquette Law School poll, in which Barrett held 36 percent to Falk's 29 percent with La Follette and Vinehout at 8 percent each.
A significant number of Democratic primary voters are still undecided, 19 percent in the latest poll, up slightly from 17 percent in March. Undecided voters were asked which candidate they lean towards. Including those leaning voters, the primary results become Barrett at 45 percent, Falk at 23 percent, La Follette at 8 percent and Vinehout at 8 percent, with 9 percent still saying they are undecided.
Likelihood of voting makes little difference for the Democratic primary. Among likely voters Barrett has 38 percent to Falk's 20 percent with La Follette at 8 percent and Vinehout at 7 percent.
"Despite Barrett’s late entry into the race, he has improved his position both among Democratic primary voters and in the general recall contest against Walker. Barrett trailed Walker by 6 percentage points in January but cut that to two points in March. The contest is now essentially a tie," said Marquette Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin in a news release.
Looking ahead to the November election, the poll shows President Barack Obama leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 51 percent to 42 percent, a small change from the 48-43 matchup in March just prior to Romney's win in the Wisconsin Republican primary.
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